Seth Lugo

Seth Lugo

KC · P

Innings-eater: 25.1% K rate, 19.3% whiff, 5.3 IP per start.

Everything you need to know about Seth Lugo before you bet. His whiff rate is 18.2% — below league average. He throws his fastball at 91 mph. Compare odds across 8 sportsbooks for every prop market below.

Compared to other innings eaters

Highest IP per Start among innings eaters this season. Top 10.

#PlayerTeamIP per Start
1Logan WebbSF7.00
2Sandy AlcantaraMIA6.50
3Troy MeltonDET6.44
4Nathan EovaldiTEX6.27
5Michael WachaKC6.24
6Matthew BoydCHC6.17
7Logan GilbertSEA6.06
8Justin WrobleskiLAD6.05
9Tanner BibeeCLE6.00
10Bailey OberMIN6.00

Seth Lugo is not in the top 10 innings eaters on ip per start this season.

How is Seth Lugo performing?

Seth Lugo is a workhorse starter who prioritizes volume over velocity. Across 15 starts, he's averaged 5.3 innings per outing with a 25.1% strikeout rate and 19.3% whiff rate—a gap that suggests he's inducing weak contact and ground balls rather than pure swing-and-miss stuff. The profile is built on consistency and length, not overpowering hitters, making him a reliable depth option who can eat innings without needing dominant stuff.

Performance summary as of week of July 13, 2026

Whiff Rate

18.2%

Below average

K Over Rate

30%

3 of 10 games

Fastball Velo

91 mph

Average

Outs Over Rate

30%

Bottom 2%

3 of 10 games

Whiff RateHow often batters swing and miss at his pitches. Higher = more strikeout upside. League average is ~25%.

K Over RateHow often he goes over his strikeout line. Shows how reliable he is for K props.

Fastball VeloAverage speed of his fastball. Harder throwers tend to generate more swings and misses.

Outs Over RateHow often he goes over his outs recorded line. Higher = he pitches deeper into games.

Tonight's prop markets

These are the prop bets available for Seth Lugo. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.

Keep researching Seth Lugo

Use these pages to move from a single player overview into the most relevant MLB research surfaces for tonight's slate.

How has Seth Lugo been pitching lately?

These are Seth Lugo's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics that predict prop outcomes. Green values mean he's well above the league average.

Whiff Rate

18.2%

Swing-and-miss rate · avg ~25%

Chase Rate

22.6%

Bottom 3%

Chases outside zone · avg ~30%

Fastball Velo

91mph

Average heater speed · avg ~93.5

CSW Rate

27.1%

Called strikes + whiffs · avg ~28%

What pitches does Seth Lugo throw?

Seth Lugo's pitch mix — how often he throws each type.

Fastball
53.4%
Breaking Ball
39.9%
Offspeed
6.7%

How has Seth Lugo been pitching recently?

Each bar shows strikeouts per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted strikeouts line (4.5). He went over 2 of 5 times against this line.

4.5
6
Jul 12KC@BAL
4
Jul 7KC@NYM
7
Jul 1TB@KC
3
Jun 25KC@TB
2
Jun 10TEX@KC
OverUnderLine (4.5)

Our model has analyzed Seth Lugo's matchup.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are Seth Lugo's prop odds tonight?

Seth Lugo (KC) typically has three pitcher prop markets posted before each start: strikeouts, outs recorded, and earned runs. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best price in gold.

What is Seth Lugo's pitching style?

Seth Lugo throws fastballs about 53.4% of the time, breaking balls 39.9%, and offspeed pitches 6.7%. His whiff rate is 18.2% — below the ~25% league average. Fastball velocity sits at 91 mph. Called-strike-plus-whiff rate is 27.1%.

How has Seth Lugo been performing recently?

Over his last 10 starts, Seth Lugo has gone over his outs-recorded line 30% of the time, over his earned-runs line — of the time. Each prop page above shows the full game-by-game line history with actual outcomes.

Where can I bet on Seth Lugo props?

Seth Lugo props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. Each prop page on OddsGuy shows current pricing across all 8 books so you can shop for the best number before betting.

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Seth Lugo — KC P
Whiff rate: 18.2% (league avg ~25%)
Fastball velocity: 91 mph
Pitch mix: 53.4% fastball, 39.9% breaking, 6.7% offspeed
Outs over rate: 30% (last 10 games)
Earned runs over rate: — (last 10 games)