Matt Chapman
SF · 3B
Struggling hitter: 39.2% K rate, 5.6% barrel, .04 ISO, no HR.
Everything you need to know about Matt Chapman before you bet. He's gone over his hits line 40% of the time across 20 tracked games. Compare home run, hits, and total bases odds across 8 sportsbooks below.
How is Matt Chapman performing?
Matt Chapman presents a concerning offensive profile through 84 games. His 39.2% strikeout rate and 28.3% whiff rate are well above league norms, indicating significant swing-and-miss issues that undermine any contact-oriented approach. A 5.6% barrel rate and .04 ISO reflect weak contact quality, and he remains without a home run. With zero stolen bases, there's no speed component to offset the lack of power, leaving little offensive value until hard-contact metrics improve.
Performance summary as of week of June 29, 2026
Hits Over Rate
40%
8 of 20 games
HR Over Rate
29%
Bottom 2%2 of 7 games
TB Over Rate
43%
9 of 21 games
Hits Over Rate — How often he goes over his hits line. Shows how reliable he is for hits props.
HR Over Rate — How often he goes over his home run line. Higher = he hits for power consistently.
TB Over Rate — How often he goes over his total bases line. Combines hits + extra-base power.
Tonight's prop markets
These are the prop bets available for Matt Chapman. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.
Keep researching Matt Chapman
Use these pages to move from a single player overview into the most relevant MLB research surfaces for tonight's slate.
How has Matt Chapman been hitting?
These are Matt Chapman's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics behind hits, home runs, and total bases. Green values are above league average.
K Rate
39.7%
Strikeout rate · league avg ~22%
Whiff %
33.0%
Swing-and-miss rate · league avg ~25%
Hard Hit %
38.9%
Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%
Barrel %
5.6%
Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%
HR Rate
0.0%
Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%
SLG
.150
Bottom 1%Slugging percentage · league avg ~.420
Stats as of 2026-06-30 · extended sample through 2025-09-28
How has Matt Chapman been hitting recently?
Each bar shows hits per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted hits line (0.5). He went over 2 of 5 times against this line.
Our model has analyzed Matt Chapman's matchup.
Sign up free to see tonight's best bets across all MLB markets.
Sign up freeFrequently Asked Questions
What are Matt Chapman's prop odds tonight?▾
Matt Chapman (SF) typically has three batter prop markets posted: hits, home runs, and total bases. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best available price.
How has Matt Chapman been hitting recently?▾
Over his last 20 tracked games, Matt Chapman has gone over his hits line 40% of the time, over his home-run line 29% of the time, and over his total-bases line 43% of the time. The prop pages above show every settled game with the line, actual outcome, and book context.
Where can I bet on Matt Chapman props?▾
Matt Chapman props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. The prop pages above compare live pricing across all 8 books so you can find the best number.
Explore More
Tonight's Games
Stats & Leaderboards
Matt Chapman — SF 3B Hits over rate: 40% (last 20 games) HR over rate: 29% (last 7 games) TB over rate: 43% (last 21 games) K rate: 39.7% (league avg ~22%) Whiff rate: 33% (league avg ~25%) Hard-hit rate: 38.9% (league avg ~36%) Barrel rate: 5.6% (league avg ~7%) HR rate: 0% (league avg ~3%) SLG: 0.150 (league avg ~.420) Stats as of: 2026-06-30