
ATL · SS
High-risk power bat: 16.7% barrel rate, 22.8% K rate, .125 ISO.
Everything you need to know about Jorge Mateo before you bet. He's gone over his hits line 63% of the time across 16 tracked games. Compare home run, hits, and total bases odds across 8 sportsbooks below.
Highest Barrel Rate among power hitters this season. Top 10.
| # | Player | Team | Barrel Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eli White | ATL | 52.1% |
| 2 | Mike Trout | LAA | 50.0% |
| 3 | Colton Cowser | BAL | 41.7% |
| 4 | Kerry Carpenter | DET | 40.7% |
| 5 | Aaron Judge | NYY | 39.2% |
| 6 | Adrian Del Castillo | AZ | 37.5% |
| 7 | Dominic Canzone | SEA | 36.5% |
| 8 | Pete Alonso | BAL | 34.2% |
| 9 | James Wood | WSH | 34.2% |
| 10 | Spencer Torkelson | DET | 33.3% |
Jorge Mateo is not in the top 10 power hitters on barrel rate this season.
Jorge Mateo remains a high-risk power profile through 31 games. His 16.7% barrel rate and 10% home-run rate show hard contact and power conversion, but a 22.8% strikeout rate and 18.6% whiff rate indicate frequent chasing. The .125 ISO reflects modest power output relative to swing-and-miss volume. A 2.2% stolen-base rate offers little speed value, leaving upside tied almost entirely to the power ceiling on contact.
Performance summary as of week of June 1, 2026
Hits Over Rate
63%
10 of 16 games
HR Over Rate
—
No data yet
TB Over Rate
64%
Top 8%9 of 14 games
Hits Over Rate — How often he goes over his hits line. Shows how reliable he is for hits props.
HR Over Rate — How often he goes over his home run line. Higher = he hits for power consistently.
TB Over Rate — How often he goes over his total bases line. Combines hits + extra-base power.
These are the prop bets available for Jorge Mateo. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.
Use these pages to move from a single player overview into the most relevant MLB research surfaces for tonight's slate.
These are Jorge Mateo's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics behind hits, home runs, and total bases. Green values are above league average.
K Rate
22.8%
Strikeout rate · league avg ~22%
Whiff %
18.6%
Swing-and-miss rate · league avg ~25%
Hard Hit %
41.7%
Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%
Barrel %
16.7%
Top 1%Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%
HR Rate
10.0%
Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%
SLG
.525
Slugging percentage · league avg ~.420
Stats as of 2026-05-31 · extended sample through 2025-09-25
Each bar shows hits per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted hits line (0.5). He went over 5 of 5 times against this line.
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Sign up freeJorge Mateo (ATL) typically has three batter prop markets posted: hits, home runs, and total bases. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best available price.
Over his last 16 tracked games, Jorge Mateo has gone over his hits line 63% of the time, and over his total-bases line 64% of the time. The prop pages above show every settled game with the line, actual outcome, and book context.
Jorge Mateo props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. The prop pages above compare live pricing across all 8 books so you can find the best number.
Jorge Mateo — ATL SS Hits over rate: 63% (last 16 games) TB over rate: 64% (last 14 games) K rate: 22.8% (league avg ~22%) Whiff rate: 18.6% (league avg ~25%) Hard-hit rate: 41.7% (league avg ~36%) Barrel rate: 16.7% (league avg ~7%) HR rate: 10% (league avg ~3%) SLG: 0.525 (league avg ~.420) Stats as of: 2026-05-31