Jorge Mateo

Jorge Mateo

ATL · SS

High-risk power bat: 16.7% barrel rate, 22.8% K rate, .125 ISO.

Everything you need to know about Jorge Mateo before you bet. He's gone over his hits line 63% of the time across 16 tracked games. Compare home run, hits, and total bases odds across 8 sportsbooks below.

Compared to other power hitters

Highest Barrel Rate among power hitters this season. Top 10.

#PlayerTeamBarrel Rate
1Eli WhiteATL52.1%
2Mike TroutLAA50.0%
3Colton CowserBAL41.7%
4Kerry CarpenterDET40.7%
5Aaron JudgeNYY39.2%
6Adrian Del CastilloAZ37.5%
7Dominic CanzoneSEA36.5%
8Pete AlonsoBAL34.2%
9James WoodWSH34.2%
10Spencer TorkelsonDET33.3%

Jorge Mateo is not in the top 10 power hitters on barrel rate this season.

How is Jorge Mateo performing?

Jorge Mateo remains a high-risk power profile through 31 games. His 16.7% barrel rate and 10% home-run rate show hard contact and power conversion, but a 22.8% strikeout rate and 18.6% whiff rate indicate frequent chasing. The .125 ISO reflects modest power output relative to swing-and-miss volume. A 2.2% stolen-base rate offers little speed value, leaving upside tied almost entirely to the power ceiling on contact.

Performance summary as of week of June 1, 2026

Hits Over Rate

63%

10 of 16 games

HR Over Rate

No data yet

TB Over Rate

64%

Top 8%

9 of 14 games

Hits Over RateHow often he goes over his hits line. Shows how reliable he is for hits props.

HR Over RateHow often he goes over his home run line. Higher = he hits for power consistently.

TB Over RateHow often he goes over his total bases line. Combines hits + extra-base power.

Tonight's prop markets

These are the prop bets available for Jorge Mateo. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.

Keep researching Jorge Mateo

Use these pages to move from a single player overview into the most relevant MLB research surfaces for tonight's slate.

How has Jorge Mateo been hitting?

These are Jorge Mateo's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics behind hits, home runs, and total bases. Green values are above league average.

K Rate

22.8%

Strikeout rate · league avg ~22%

Whiff %

18.6%

Swing-and-miss rate · league avg ~25%

Hard Hit %

41.7%

Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%

Barrel %

16.7%

Top 1%

Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%

HR Rate

10.0%

Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%

SLG

.525

Slugging percentage · league avg ~.420

Stats as of 2026-05-31 · extended sample through 2025-09-25

How has Jorge Mateo been hitting recently?

Each bar shows hits per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted hits line (0.5). He went over 5 of 5 times against this line.

0.5
1
May 31ATL@CIN
1
May 30ATL@CIN
1
May 29ATL@CIN
2
May 28ATL@BOS
2
May 27ATL@BOS
OverUnderLine (0.5)

Our model has analyzed Jorge Mateo's matchup.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are Jorge Mateo's prop odds tonight?

Jorge Mateo (ATL) typically has three batter prop markets posted: hits, home runs, and total bases. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best available price.

How has Jorge Mateo been hitting recently?

Over his last 16 tracked games, Jorge Mateo has gone over his hits line 63% of the time, and over his total-bases line 64% of the time. The prop pages above show every settled game with the line, actual outcome, and book context.

Where can I bet on Jorge Mateo props?

Jorge Mateo props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. The prop pages above compare live pricing across all 8 books so you can find the best number.

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Jorge Mateo — ATL SS
Hits over rate: 63% (last 16 games)
TB over rate: 64% (last 14 games)
K rate: 22.8% (league avg ~22%)
Whiff rate: 18.6% (league avg ~25%)
Hard-hit rate: 41.7% (league avg ~36%)
Barrel rate: 16.7% (league avg ~7%)
HR rate: 10% (league avg ~3%)
SLG: 0.525 (league avg ~.420)
Stats as of: 2026-05-31