JJ Bleday

JJ Bleday

CIN · LF

Will JJ Bleday get more than 0.5 home runs? He has in 20% of his last 20 starts.

What should I know about home runs props?

Home run props are high-volatility markets, so context matters. This page gives the posted line and prices; pair it with the player overview and slate-wide odds to judge whether the number is worth it.

Tonight's matchup

JJ Bleday is not on tonight's slate.

Where are the best odds for JJ Bleday home runs?

Best price for more than 0.5 home runs: Hard Rock Bet

SportsbookOver 0.5Under 0.5
Fliff+290-580
TheScore Bet+320-600
Hard Rock Bet (OH)+300
Hard Rock Bet+325
Caesars+305

How often does he hit this number?

Over rate · last 20 games

20%

Each bar shows home runs per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted home runs line (0.5). He went over 3 of 5 times against this line.

0.5
0
Jul 12CHC@CIN
1
Jul 11CHC@CIN
1
Jul 10CHC@CIN
1
Jul 8PHI@CIN
0
Jul 7PHI@CIN
OverUnderLine (0.5)

Statcast Numbers

The metrics that drive home runs most directly.

Barrel %

16.7%

Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%

Hard Hit %

50.0%

Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%

HR Rate

0.0%

Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%

Stats as of 2026-07-12 · extended sample through 2025-09-28

Want to know if JJ Bleday is a bet tonight?

Sign up free. Our model tells you when the edge is real.

Sign up free

More on JJ Bleday

Related MLB research for home runs

Explore More

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the home runs line for JJ Bleday tonight?

The current home runs line for JJ Bleday (CIN) is 0.5. The odds table above lists the over and under price at every sportsbook that's posted this prop and highlights the best available price in gold so you can shop the line.

How often does JJ Bleday go over on home runs?

Over his last 20 settled games, JJ Bleday has gone over the home runs line 20% of the time. The hit-rate chart above plots each game's actual stat against the posted line so you can see whether the recent trend is supporting an over or an under play.

Where can I find the best odds for JJ Bleday home runs?

OddsGuy compares JJ Bleday home runs pricing across 8 sportsbooks: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Pinnacle, and Bovada. The odds table above highlights the best available price in gold. On the same line, even a small price difference (e.g. -110 vs -105) compounds meaningfully over many bets, so always shop the line before placing it.

Is JJ Bleday's home runs prop worth betting?

OddsGuy doesn't issue an official rating on individual home runs props — that's what the live scanner inside the dashboard does. Use the line, the hit-rate trend, and the multi-book pricing on this page to do your own research, then check /dashboard/scanner (Pro) for the engine's promoted plays for tonight.

Copy for AI
JJ Bleday Home Runs Prop Analysis
Team: CIN | Position: LF
Line: 0.5 home runs
Hit rate: 20% over last 20 games
Odds: Fliff O290/U-580, theScore Bet O320/U-600, Hard Rock Bet (OH) O300/U-, Hard Rock Bet O325/U-, Caesars O305/U-