Esmerlyn Valdez
PIT · RF
Balanced hitter with 38% K rate and 36.25% whiff—above average chase.
Everything you need to know about Esmerlyn Valdez before you bet. He's gone over his hits line 50% of the time across 18 tracked games. Compare home run, hits, and total bases odds across 8 sportsbooks below.
How is Esmerlyn Valdez performing?
Esmerlyn Valdez is a balanced hitter profile that has drifted toward swing-and-miss through 28 games. His strikeout rate sits at 38% and whiff rate at 36.25%—both well above typical—indicating he's chasing pitches outside the zone at a high rate. With zero stolen bases, the profile has no speed component to offset the contact struggles. The approach needs tightening for this archetype to produce consistent value.
Performance summary as of week of July 13, 2026
Hits Over Rate
50%
9 of 18 games
HR Over Rate
33%
Bottom 5%3 of 9 games
TB Over Rate
56%
10 of 18 games
Hits Over Rate — How often he goes over his hits line. Shows how reliable he is for hits props.
HR Over Rate — How often he goes over his home run line. Higher = he hits for power consistently.
TB Over Rate — How often he goes over his total bases line. Combines hits + extra-base power.
Tonight's prop markets
These are the prop bets available for Esmerlyn Valdez. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.
Keep researching Esmerlyn Valdez
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How has Esmerlyn Valdez been hitting?
These are Esmerlyn Valdez's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics behind hits, home runs, and total bases. Green values are above league average.
K Rate
38.0%
Bottom 1%Strikeout rate · league avg ~22%
Whiff %
36.2%
Swing-and-miss rate · league avg ~25%
Hard Hit %
—
Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%
Barrel %
—
Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%
HR Rate
—
Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%
SLG
—
Slugging percentage · league avg ~.420
Stats as of 2026-07-12
How has Esmerlyn Valdez been hitting recently?
Each bar shows hits per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted hits line (1.5). He went over 2 of 5 times against this line.
Our model has analyzed Esmerlyn Valdez's matchup.
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What are Esmerlyn Valdez's prop odds tonight?▾
Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) typically has three batter prop markets posted: hits, home runs, and total bases. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best available price.
How has Esmerlyn Valdez been hitting recently?▾
Over his last 18 tracked games, Esmerlyn Valdez has gone over his hits line 50% of the time, over his home-run line 33% of the time, and over his total-bases line 56% of the time. The prop pages above show every settled game with the line, actual outcome, and book context.
Where can I bet on Esmerlyn Valdez props?▾
Esmerlyn Valdez props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. The prop pages above compare live pricing across all 8 books so you can find the best number.
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Tonight's Games
Stats & Leaderboards
Esmerlyn Valdez — PIT RF Hits over rate: 50% (last 18 games) HR over rate: 33% (last 9 games) TB over rate: 56% (last 18 games) K rate: 38% (league avg ~22%) Whiff rate: 36.2% (league avg ~25%) Stats as of: 2026-07-12