Aaron Nola

Aaron Nola

PHI · P

Innings eater: 5.1 IP per start, 23.6% K rate, 24.3% whiff.

Everything you need to know about Aaron Nola before you bet. His whiff rate is 22.2% — right around league average. He throws his fastball at 91.2 mph. Compare odds across 8 sportsbooks for every prop market below.

Compared to other innings eaters

Highest IP per Start among innings eaters this season. Top 10.

#PlayerTeamIP per Start
1Stephen KolekKC6.67
2Zack WheelerPHI6.53
3Logan WebbSF6.50
4Gavin WilliamsCLE6.43
5Sandy AlcantaraMIA6.30
6Nathan EovaldiTEX6.20
7Michael WachaKC6.19
8Davis MartinCWS6.14
9Chris SaleATL6.14
10Justin WrobleskiLAD6.13

Aaron Nola is not in the top 10 innings eaters on ip per start this season.

How is Aaron Nola performing?

Aaron Nola is a workhorse starter who prioritizes volume over strikeout dominance. Across 9 starts, he's averaged 5.1 innings per outing, staying in games long enough to accumulate workload. His 23.6% strikeout rate and 24.3% whiff rate are modest, suggesting he's not overpowering hitters. The profile is built on efficiency and durability rather than dominant stuff.

Performance summary as of week of May 25, 2026

Whiff Rate

22.2%

Below average

K Over Rate

Fastball Velo

91.2 mph

Average

Outs Over Rate

33%

Bottom 5%

3 of 9 games

Whiff RateHow often batters swing and miss at his pitches. Higher = more strikeout upside. League average is ~25%.

K Over RateHow often he goes over his strikeout line. Shows how reliable he is for K props.

Fastball VeloAverage speed of his fastball. Harder throwers tend to generate more swings and misses.

Outs Over RateHow often he goes over his outs recorded line. Higher = he pitches deeper into games.

Tonight's prop markets

These are the prop bets available for Aaron Nola. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.

Keep researching Aaron Nola

Use these pages to move from a single player overview into the most relevant MLB research surfaces for tonight's slate.

How has Aaron Nola been pitching lately?

These are Aaron Nola's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics that predict prop outcomes. Green values mean he's well above the league average.

Whiff Rate

22.2%

Swing-and-miss rate · avg ~25%

Chase Rate

33.1%

Chases outside zone · avg ~30%

Fastball Velo

91.2mph

Bottom 13%

Average heater speed · avg ~93.5

CSW Rate

28.1%

Called strikes + whiffs · avg ~28%

What pitches does Aaron Nola throw?

Aaron Nola's pitch mix — how often he throws each type.

Fastball
57.3%
Breaking Ball
30.4%
Offspeed
12.3%

Our model has analyzed Aaron Nola's matchup.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are Aaron Nola's prop odds tonight?

Aaron Nola (PHI) typically has three pitcher prop markets posted before each start: strikeouts, outs recorded, and earned runs. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best price in gold.

What is Aaron Nola's pitching style?

Aaron Nola throws fastballs about 57.3% of the time, breaking balls 30.4%, and offspeed pitches 12.3%. His whiff rate is 22.2% — close to the ~25% league average. Fastball velocity sits at 91.2 mph. Called-strike-plus-whiff rate is 28.1%.

How has Aaron Nola been performing recently?

Over his last 9 starts, Aaron Nola has gone over his outs-recorded line 33% of the time, over his earned-runs line — of the time. Each prop page above shows the full game-by-game line history with actual outcomes.

Where can I bet on Aaron Nola props?

Aaron Nola props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. Each prop page on OddsGuy shows current pricing across all 8 books so you can shop for the best number before betting.

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Aaron Nola — PHI P
Whiff rate: 22.2% (league avg ~25%)
Fastball velocity: 91.2 mph
Pitch mix: 57.3% fastball, 30.4% breaking, 12.3% offspeed
Outs over rate: 33% (last 9 games)
Earned runs over rate: — (last 9 games)