Aaron Nola
PHI · P
Innings eater: 5.1 IP/start, 24.94% K rate, 25.04% whiff.
Everything you need to know about Aaron Nola before you bet. His whiff rate is 27.5% — right around league average. He throws his fastball at 91.6 mph. Compare odds across 8 sportsbooks for every prop market below.
Compared to other innings eaters
Highest IP per Start among innings eaters this season. Top 10.
| # | Player | Team | IP per Start |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Logan Webb | SF | 7.00 |
| 2 | Sandy Alcantara | MIA | 6.50 |
| 3 | Troy Melton | DET | 6.44 |
| 4 | Nathan Eovaldi | TEX | 6.27 |
| 5 | Michael Wacha | KC | 6.24 |
| 6 | Matthew Boyd | CHC | 6.17 |
| 7 | Logan Gilbert | SEA | 6.06 |
| 8 | Justin Wrobleski | LAD | 6.05 |
| 9 | Tanner Bibee | CLE | 6.00 |
| 10 | Bailey Ober | MIN | 6.00 |
Aaron Nola is not in the top 10 innings eaters on ip per start this season.
How is Aaron Nola performing?
Aaron Nola is a workhorse starter who prioritizes volume over strikeout dominance. Across 15 starts, he's averaged 5.1 innings per outing, staying in games long enough to accumulate workload. His 24.94% strikeout rate and 25.04% whiff rate are modest, suggesting he's not overpowering hitters. The profile is built on efficiency and durability rather than dominant stuff.
Performance summary as of week of July 13, 2026
Whiff Rate
27.5%
League average
K Over Rate
30%
3 of 10 games
Fastball Velo
91.6 mph
Average
Outs Over Rate
20%
Bottom 1%2 of 10 games
Whiff Rate — How often batters swing and miss at his pitches. Higher = more strikeout upside. League average is ~25%.
K Over Rate — How often he goes over his strikeout line. Shows how reliable he is for K props.
Fastball Velo — Average speed of his fastball. Harder throwers tend to generate more swings and misses.
Outs Over Rate — How often he goes over his outs recorded line. Higher = he pitches deeper into games.
Tonight's prop markets
These are the prop bets available for Aaron Nola. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.
Keep researching Aaron Nola
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How has Aaron Nola been pitching lately?
These are Aaron Nola's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics that predict prop outcomes. Green values mean he's well above the league average.
Whiff Rate
27.5%
Swing-and-miss rate · avg ~25%
Chase Rate
29.7%
Chases outside zone · avg ~30%
Fastball Velo
91.6mph
Bottom 17%Average heater speed · avg ~93.5
CSW Rate
30.2%
Called strikes + whiffs · avg ~28%
What pitches does Aaron Nola throw?
Aaron Nola's pitch mix — how often he throws each type.
How has Aaron Nola been pitching recently?
Each bar shows strikeouts per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted strikeouts line (6.5). He went over 2 of 5 times against this line.
Our model has analyzed Aaron Nola's matchup.
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Sign up freeFrequently Asked Questions
What are Aaron Nola's prop odds tonight?▾
Aaron Nola (PHI) typically has three pitcher prop markets posted before each start: strikeouts, outs recorded, and earned runs. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best price in gold.
What is Aaron Nola's pitching style?▾
Aaron Nola throws fastballs about 57.3% of the time, breaking balls 30.4%, and offspeed pitches 12.3%. His whiff rate is 27.5% — close to the ~25% league average. Fastball velocity sits at 91.6 mph. Called-strike-plus-whiff rate is 30.2%.
How has Aaron Nola been performing recently?▾
Over his last 10 starts, Aaron Nola has gone over his outs-recorded line 20% of the time, over his earned-runs line — of the time. Each prop page above shows the full game-by-game line history with actual outcomes.
Where can I bet on Aaron Nola props?▾
Aaron Nola props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. Each prop page on OddsGuy shows current pricing across all 8 books so you can shop for the best number before betting.
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Tonight's Games
Stats & Leaderboards
Aaron Nola — PHI P Whiff rate: 27.5% (league avg ~25%) Fastball velocity: 91.6 mph Pitch mix: 57.3% fastball, 30.4% breaking, 12.3% offspeed Outs over rate: 20% (last 10 games) Earned runs over rate: — (last 10 games)